Consumer Confidence vs Sahm Rule Indicator

Consumer Confidence

University of Michigan consumer sentiment

55.2
+3.56%
Very Pessimistic
56.6 50.7 44.8 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26 Jun'26

Sahm Rule Indicator

Real-time recession indicator

-0.03%
-123.08%
No Recession Signal
0.30 0.14 -0.03 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26 Jun'26

Indicator Comparison

Consumer Confidence Sahm Rule Indicator
Current 55.2 -0.03%
Change +3.56% -123.08%
Status Very Pessimistic No Recession Signal
Data Source FRED UMCSENT FRED SAHMREALTIME
Update Frequency Monthly Monthly
Last Updated July 1, 2026 July 1, 2026