Consumer Confidence vs Sahm Rule Indicator

Consumer Confidence

University of Michigan consumer sentiment

51.7
-3.00%
Very Pessimistic
56.6 50.7 44.8 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26 Jun'26 Jul'26

Sahm Rule Indicator

Real-time recession indicator

0.00%
-100.00%
No Recession Signal
0.30 0.11 -0.07 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26 Jun'26 Jul'26 Aug'26

Indicator Comparison

Consumer Confidence Sahm Rule Indicator
Current 51.7 0.00%
Change -3.00% -100.00%
Status Very Pessimistic No Recession Signal
Data Source FRED UMCSENT FRED SAHMREALTIME
Update Frequency Monthly Monthly
Last Updated August 1, 2026 September 1, 2026