Sahm Rule Indicator vs Inflation Rate (CPI)

Sahm Rule Indicator

Real-time recession indicator

0.07%
-46.15%
No Recession Signal
0.30 0.18 0.07 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26

Inflation Rate (CPI)

Consumer Price Index YoY change

4.3%
+8.10%
High Inflation
334 330 327 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26

Indicator Comparison

Sahm Rule Indicator Inflation Rate (CPI)
Current 0.07% 4.3%
Change -46.15% +8.10%
Status No Recession Signal High Inflation
Data Source FRED SAHMREALTIME FRED CPIAUCSL
Update Frequency Monthly Monthly
Last Updated June 1, 2026 May 1, 2026